Doug Johnson Hatlem

Doug Johnson Hatlem writes on polling, elections data, and politics. For questions, comments, or to inquire about syndicating this weekly column for the 2020 cycle in your outlet, he can be contacted on Twitter @djjohnso (DMs open) or at (subject line #10at10 Election Column).

Will a Scorched-Earth Campaign Successfully Invisibilize Toronto’s Homeless Encampments?

The City of Toronto’s Dangerous Game and the Covid-19 Outbreak at Seaton House Shelter

Is It Arson? Seven Suspicious Fires in Seven Days Rock Toronto’s Homeless Encampments

Biden Appears to Have Won, Why He Must be Primaried in 2024

In Loving and Proud Memory of My Friend Derek Soberal

Is Corbyn for Christmas Just Another Stove Pipe-Dream?

Poll Projection: Left-Leaning Jagmeet Singh to Share Power with Trudeau in Canada

Polling the Warren Factor

Ten Recent Democratic Primary Polls Good for Bernie Sanders Ignored by the Conventional Wisdom

The Big Lie Democratic Centrists Are Telling About 2018

Can Biden or Any Democrat Avoid a Brokered Convention?

Can Warren Beat Biden?

Analysis of Undecideds Suggests Biden’s Support May be Exaggerated

On the ‘Name Recognition’ Shibboleth in the Democratic Primary Data Discussion

“Electability” is Real (Unless Married with the Junk Science of Ideological Spectrum Analysis)

Self-Assured Destruction (SAD): 21 Incidents Show How Donald Trump’s 24-Hour Nuclear Alert Could Literally Backfire

Is the National Hurricane Center Underestimating Irma’s Storm Surge?

The Clock Strikes Midnight on Jeremy Corbyn’s Cinderella Story

Undecided Voters Matter: Theresa May’s Lead Over Jeremy Corbyn Might be Only Single Digits

Michigan, Colorado or Faithless Electors Could Scuttle Clinton Coronation

At Least 40 Women Have Accused Bill Clinton or Donald Trump of Sexual Assault

Debate Night: Undecided is Everything, Advantage Trump

Alabama Democratic Primary Proves New York Times’ Nate Cohn Wrong about Exit Polling

Los Angeles Election Chief Dismissive of Ballot Shortage Concerns for Hillary Clinton vs. Bernie Sanders California Election Contest

The Faux Fracas in Nevada: How a Reporter Manufactured a Riot