Doug Johnson Hatlem

Doug Johnson Hatlem writes on polling, elections data, and politics. For questions, comments, or to inquire about syndicating this weekly column for the 2020 cycle in your outlet, he can be contacted on Twitter @djjohnso (DMs open) or at (subject line #10at10 Election Column).

“Democracy might get in the way”: Why Toronto’s Mayor Tory Rejected a Human Rights-based Alternative to Militarized Encampment Clearings

Will a Scorched-Earth Campaign Successfully Invisibilize Toronto’s Homeless Encampments?

The City of Toronto’s Dangerous Game and the Covid-19 Outbreak at Seaton House Shelter

Is It Arson? Seven Suspicious Fires in Seven Days Rock Toronto’s Homeless Encampments

Biden Appears to Have Won, Why He Must be Primaried in 2024

In Loving and Proud Memory of My Friend Derek Soberal

Is Corbyn for Christmas Just Another Stove Pipe-Dream?

Poll Projection: Left-Leaning Jagmeet Singh to Share Power with Trudeau in Canada

Polling the Warren Factor

Ten Recent Democratic Primary Polls Good for Bernie Sanders Ignored by the Conventional Wisdom

The Big Lie Democratic Centrists Are Telling About 2018

Can Biden or Any Democrat Avoid a Brokered Convention?

Can Warren Beat Biden?

Analysis of Undecideds Suggests Biden’s Support May be Exaggerated

On the ‘Name Recognition’ Shibboleth in the Democratic Primary Data Discussion

“Electability” is Real (Unless Married with the Junk Science of Ideological Spectrum Analysis)

Self-Assured Destruction (SAD): 21 Incidents Show How Donald Trump’s 24-Hour Nuclear Alert Could Literally Backfire

Is the National Hurricane Center Underestimating Irma’s Storm Surge?

The Clock Strikes Midnight on Jeremy Corbyn’s Cinderella Story

Undecided Voters Matter: Theresa May’s Lead Over Jeremy Corbyn Might be Only Single Digits

Michigan, Colorado or Faithless Electors Could Scuttle Clinton Coronation

At Least 40 Women Have Accused Bill Clinton or Donald Trump of Sexual Assault

Debate Night: Undecided is Everything, Advantage Trump

Alabama Democratic Primary Proves New York Times’ Nate Cohn Wrong about Exit Polling

Los Angeles Election Chief Dismissive of Ballot Shortage Concerns for Hillary Clinton vs. Bernie Sanders California Election Contest

The Faux Fracas in Nevada: How a Reporter Manufactured a Riot

Clinton Does Best Where Voting Machines Flunk Hacking Tests: Hillary Clinton vs. Bernie Sanders Election Fraud Allegations

Chicago Election Official Admits “Numbers Didn’t Match”: Hillary Clinton vs. Bernie Sanders Election Fraud Allegations

Purged, Hacked, Switched: On Election Fraud Allegations in Hillary Clinton vs Bernie Sanders

Hillary Clinton vs Bernie Sanders: In-depth Report on Exit Polling and Election Fraud Allegations

An Interview With Lead Edison Exit Pollster Joe Lenski

Hillary Clinton vs. Bernie Sanders: Debunking Some Election Fraud Allegations

Hillary Clinton Versus Bernie Sanders: Taking Election Fraud Allegations Seriously (Part 1)

NYC Board of Elections Suspends 2nd Official, Delays Hillary Clinton v. Bernie Sanders Results Certification

Electoral Votes Matter: Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders vs Donald Trump

On Open Marriages and Closed Elections

To Clear the Air, Sanders Should Challenge New York Vote

New York Primary: Why is Exit Poll Data Adjusted to Match Final Voting Results?

Eating My Bernie Math: How DeBlasio Rescued Clinton and the Banksters from Bernie Kong

My Projection for Sanders v. Clinton in New York’s Primary

Why the Polling for Clinton Versus Sanders in New York is Mostly Garbage

Are Two Polls Showing Sanders Winning with Latino Voters in New York Correct?

Mid-Term Polling Firm and Forecaster Scorecard: 2016 Democratic Primary

An Early Tableau of the New York Primary

Will Latino Millennials Upend the Democratic Establishment?

Another Path to Victory for Bernie Sanders

Rose Colored Glasses Scenario 1; 538 and #FeelTheMath 0

On Nate Silver and 538’s 12.2% Clinton House Effect

The Ides of March: Will Bernie Sanders Survive?

Bernie’s Narrow Path to Victory: a Statistical Analysis