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Today's
Stories
August 10, 2009
David Price
Trial by FBI Investigation
August 7 - 9, 2009
Alexander Cockburn
It Pays to Have a Nuke
Mike Whitney
Economy on a Scaffold
Elaine C. Hagopian
Obama's Israel Albatross
Carl Ginsburg
RX For Healthcare
Miguel Tinker Salas
Honduras is Only Part of the Story: the Conservative Counter-Attack in Latin America
Saul Landau
The Kidney Broker and the Money Laundering Rabbis
John Ross
The Mexican Genome: Big Science in the Service of Indian Genocide?
Anthony DiMaggio Obama and the Israel Lobby: Origins of Power
John Stanton
Expanding Human Terrain Systems?
Christopher Brauchli Legal Absurdities: Outing Three Strikes
Wajahat Ali
A Muslim American Hero: an Interview with Dave Eggers on "Zeitoun"
Ron Jacobs
As Long as the Wars Continue, We Must Resist Them
Franklin Lamb
Sunday Morning on the Dunes: Cleaning "Free Gaza Beach"
Bruce E. Levine
Protect Us From Our Friends
Michael Winship
Neighborhood Watch for Planet Earth
David Macaray
Glimmers of Hope for Labor?
Stephen Fleischman
Suicide Squad
Robert Bryce
Unplugging the Next Big Thing: the Hype Over Electric Cars
Robert Dodge, MD: Hiroshima and Nagasaki Remembered
Mark Seth Lender
The Message of the Glossy Ibis
David Yearsley
Vaucanson's Faun and the Duck in the Attic
Ben Sonnenberg
Chris Fuller's Brilliant Debut
Lorenzo Wolff
When Music's the Character
Poets' Basement
Dominguez and Corseri
Website of the Weekend
Warren Buffett's Betrayal
August 6, 2009
Ishmael Reed
Let's All Have a Beer
Paul Craig Roberts
The Expiring Economy
William Blum Assassinations and Coups: Keeping Track of the Empire's Crimes
Michael Donnelly
Rod Coronado: the Hardest Working Man in Animal Rights "Terrorism"
Jonathan Cook
Rabbis Ban Marriage for Israeli "Untouchables"
Dave Lindorff
The Health Care Reform Sell-Out
Ellen Brown
The Public Option in Banking
Website of the Day
Ellsberg on Hiroshima
August 5, 2009
Dedrick Muhammad /
Barbara Ehrenreich
The Destruction of the Black Middle Class
Norman Solomon
The Incredible, Shrinking Health Care Plan
William Blum
The Myths of Afghanistan: Past and Present
Gareth Porter
The ISI and the Taliban: US Officials Are Protecting Pakistani Aid to Taliban
Mary Lynn Cramer
The Myth of Medicare for All
Jim Goodman
Obama Needs to Take a Stand on Trade
Nadia Hijab
Playing From Strength in the Middle East
Gretchen Kroth
Guatemala's Garbage Dump Education System
Steve Macek /
Scott Sanders
Privatizing the Airwaves
Sarah Lazare
Inside G.I. Resistance
Website of the Day
The Locavore Myth
August 4, 2009
Mike Whitney
Bernanke's Shell Game
Dave Lindorff
The Recession Isn't Over, By a Long Shot
Patrick Cockburn
Did British Bomb Attacks in Iran Provoke Hostage Crisis?
Jonathan Cook
Israel's Campaign to Silence Human Rights Groups
Jeff Sher
Making a Mess of Health Care Reform
Dean Baker
Why Don't We Globalize Health Care?
Andy Worthington
Gitmo as Hotel California
Uri Avnery
A Jeremiad
Mark Weisbrot
U.S.-Brokered Mediation in Honduras Has Failed
Alvaro Huerta
Hold That Dustbin! So Much for the "End of Racism"
Website of the Day
Pentagon to Ban Facebook and Twitter?
August 3, 2009
Pam Martens
Millions of Americans Pushed Into No-Law System by Colluding Banks
Anthony DiMaggio
Media Backlash:
Obama and the Settlements
Udi Aloni
And Who Shall I Say is Calling? A Plea to Leonard Cohen
Mike Roselle
See the Mountains of WestVirginia ... Before They're Blown Up!
Dr. Susan Block
Beat It!
Sex, Death and Michael Jackson
Roy Bourgeois / Margaret Knapke
School of Coups
Joe Bageant
A Yard Sale in Chernobyl
Dina Jadallah
Hiding the State
Dave Lindorff
Of Blue Dogs and Jellyfish
Martha Rosenberg
Grand Closings in Evanston: How the Recession is Hitting Illinois
Website of the Day
Why We Can't "Afford" Health Care
July 31 - August 2, 2009
Alexander Cockburn
The Biden and Clinton Mutinies
Gabriel Kolko
Searching For Enemies
John Prados
The Intelligence Oversight Mess
Joe Bageant
The Bastards Never Die
Tim Wise
Rationalizing Racial Oppression
Carl Ginsburg
Frist First: Follow the Money (and Find the Plump Heart of "Health Care")
Michael Fox
The Honduran Coup as Overture
John Lindsay-Poland
Revamping Plan Colombia
Michael Winship
Pay-to-Play: Washington's Sport of Kings
Rev. William Alberts
White Men Can Jump ... to Conclusions
Andy Worthington
Judge Orders Release of Tortured Gitmo Prisoner
Steve Breyman
Counting the Unemployed
Cyrus Bina
Racism, Class and Profiling
Missy Beattie
Promises Ignored
Ron Jacobs
Into the Vapid:
Consuming the Cultural Product
Willie L. Pelote, Sr.
Party of Concessions:
Democrats Never Learn
Lucia Alvarez
Fall of the House of Kirchner?
Return of the Right in Argentina
Dave Lindorff
David Brooks' White Guy Nightmare
Lawrence R. Velvel
Madoff: What Should be Done Now?
Omar Barghouti /
Sid Shniad
United for Freedom and Universal Justice
James L. Secor
The Name of the Game is Wipe-Out
Belén Fernández
Zelaya in Nicaragua: Has Another Constitution Been Violated?
Jeffrey St. Clair
Frank Lloyd Wright in Hollywood: the Ennis House as Imperial Ruin
David Yearsley
Beauty in Dark Places: Berlin's Olympic Stadium
Brian J. Foley
Pre-Eating: a Threat to Restaurants Everywhere
Alan Cabal
Onward, Into the Fog: Thomas Pynchon's
"Inherent Vice"
Kim Nicolini
The Way War Feels
Lorenzo Wolff
The Way It Felt the First Time: the Jump Rope Magic of the Shangri-Las
Poets' Basement
Four Poems From the Chinese
Website of the Weekend
Obama's Ex-Doc Knocks ObamaCare
July 30, 2009
Patrick Cockburn
Victims of a Covert Tit-for-Tat War
Gareth Porter
Afghanistan's US-Backed Child-Raping Police
Saul Landau
Summer of Denial
Greg Grandin
Honduran Coup Over?
Diane Farsetta
Pentagon Pundits Get a Pass
Stephen Soldz
The King Case, the APA and the Missing Ethics Investigation
Alan Farago
Learning How to Survive in a Depression From "Weeds"
David Macaray
Cops and Labor Unions
Mike Howells /
Jay Arena
Volunteerism Will Not Rebuild the Gulf Coast
Christopher Brauchli
Oatmeal Envy
Website of the Day
Changing the SOFA
July 29, 2009
Carl Ginsburg
Our Crisis, Their Gain
Clifton Ross
From Tegucigalpa to El Paraiso: a Voyage From Curfew to State of Siege
Paul Craig Roberts
How Fake is the "Recovery"?
Franklin C. Spinney
Winning Hearts and Minds, Pentagon Style
James Bovard Lackawanna Six: Bogus Charges and Martial Law
Anthony DiMaggio
Health Care, the Media and Public Opinion
Bouthaina Shaaban
How Will Arabs Wake Up?
Greg Moses
A Catch and Trade Policy for Labor Costs
Wajahat Ali
No Racism in Obama's Post-Race America?
Gary Leupp
Beer Will Not Solve This
Ayesha Ijaz Khan
Musharraf, Imran Khan and Overseas Pakistanis
Website of the Day
Why Single-Payer Gets No Respect
July 28, 2009
Jean Bricmont
Bombing for a Juster World?
Uri Avnery
Obama, Netanyahu and the Settlements
Dean Baker
Right to Rent: a Remedy for the Foreclosure Crisis
Heather Gray
Stupid Cop Tricks: Driving Too Close to a White Female and Other Episodes in Racist Policing
Jonathan Cook
Can an "Arab Soul" Yearn for Israel's Anthem?
Winslow T. Wheeler
Beyond the F-22: the Future of Pentagon Reform
Belén Fernández
Thomas Friedman Does Afghanistan
Carl Finamore
The Hotel Workers' Kickass Local 2
Eli Jelly-Schapiro
Striking the World Cup
Harvey Wasserman
We All Stand Before Peltier's Parole Board
Website of the Day
Behind the Wheel
July 27, 2009
Ishmael Reed
Gates: Post-Race Scholar Yells Racism
Patrick Cockburn
Elections Shake Kurdistan
Roger Burbach
Hillary and Obama Nix Change in Honduras
Steve Breyman
Bomber Joe and Russia:
Why is Biden Channeling Cheney?
Ramzy Kysia
Gaza: On the Right of Resistance
Stephen Soldz
Will the American Psychological Association Renounce the Nuremberg Defense?
Raymond J. Lawrence
Sexual Hocus Pocus in the Episcopal Church
Greg Moses
The Color Line is Black
Binoy Kampmark
Swine Flu Panic
Kim Ives
Lavalas and Haiti's Student Union Unite
Website of the Day
Meet the Paid Assassins of Health Care
July 24-26, 2009
Alexander Cockburn
"A Damned Murder, Inc."
Clifton Ross
Surreal Honduras
Patrick Cockburn
Party of "Change" Challenges Old Guard in Kurdistan
William Polk
Report Card on Obama From a New Frontiersman
David Sterritt
Screening the Politics Out of the Iraq War
Ray McGovern
Hooded in Bush's Hood
David Lindorff
Cops Gone Wild
Hannah Mermelstein
"The War is With the Arabs"
Carl Ginsburg
The Actually Existing Health Care System
Helen Redmond
The Selling of Single-Payer Features
John Ross
The Song of the Guerrilla
Bill Simpich
Fair Play for Cuba and the Cuban Revolution
Mark Weisbrot
Learning From China on How to Beat the Recession
Lee Sustar
U.S. Labor in Crisis
David Macaray
Union Workers Forced to Accept Massive Cuts
Felipe Matsunaga
Obama's Slow (and Familiar) Dance With Cuba
Sara Mann
Why Health Care Will Kill My TV
Martha Rosenberg
Which is Worse? Germs in Our Food or the Antibiotics That Kill Them?
Missy Beattie
Cha-ching Culture
David Ker Thomson
Empty Nest: a Natural History of Now
Ron Jacobs
United4Iran, a Footnote
Stephen Martin
The Crying of Lots 1 Thru 50
David Yearsley
Psst, I Show You a Feelthy Gluck
Gilad Atzmon
Bruno: a Glimpse Into Zionism?
Kim Nicolini
Guilty Laughter in the Dark: Seeing Brüno Twice
Poets' Basement
Kakak and McLellan
Website of the Weekend
Dead Prez: Summertime
July 23, 2009
Jeffrey St. Clair
The Masters of Perfidy: AIG and the System
Saul Landau /
Nelson Valdés
Hypocrisy and the Honduran Coup: Term Limits Only Apply When Governments Help People
Jonathan Cook
The Reality of Israel's "Open" Jerusalem
Nadia Hijab
Israeli Warships in the Red Sea
Dave Lindorff
Living in a Police State: the Gates Incident
Laura Carlsen
21st Century Coups d'Etat
Steve Breyman
Bankers Beware?
Ellen Brown
How California Could Turn Its IOUs Into Dollars
Norman Solomon
Spinning Health Care
Jorge Mariscal
Youth Activists Demand Military-Free Schools
Website of the Day
Copy-Editing Sarah Palin
July 22, 2009
Bernard Chazelle
How to Argue Against Torture
Nikolas Kozloff
The Coup and the U.S. Airbase in Honduras
Carl Ginsburg
The Recovery, Phase Two
Clifton Ross
Back to the Future? Return to El Salvador
Anthony DiMaggio
Health Care, Media and the Case for Socialized Medicine
Michael Donnelly
The Whoppers Behind WOPR
Nadia Hijab
Memoirs of a Lost Arab World
Dedrick Muhammad
Structural Inequality: News Not Fit to Print?
Charles Thomson
Cronyism at the Tate
Alan Farago
Ted Williams and the Florida Keys
Website of the Day
Himmelstein: Howard Dean is a Liar
July 21, 2009
Sasan Fayazmanesh
The Iranian Election and Its Aftermath
Uri Avnery
Breaking the Silence on Israeli War Crimes
Dean Baker
Séance on Wall Street
Jonathan Cook
Team Twitter: Israel's Internet War
Dave Lindorff
Saving Private Bergdahl
Andy Worthington
Interrogating the Uighurs
David Macaray
Heat, Dust and OSHA
Carl Finamore
The Deferential Party
Harvey Wasserman
Cronkite and Three Mile Island
Walter Brasch
The Marie Antoinettes of Health Care
Website of the Day
Linebaugh: Magna Carta and the Commons
July 20, 2009
Pam Martens
Judicial Apartheid
Nikolas Kozloff
Honduras and the Big Stick: Obama's Bullish Behavoir in Latin America
Paul Craig Roberts
Threatening Iran
Deepak Tripathi
Obama's Policy on China and Iran
Ira Glunts
Netanyahu's Time Bomb: Building in the Vineyard of the Mufti
P. Sainath
Put Your Money Down, Boys
Binoy Kampmark
The Moon Landing and the Cold War
Stephen Fleischman
The First Anchorman
Norman Solomon
Cronkite and Vietnam: Beyond the Hype
Andy Worthington
Predictable Chaos as Gitmo Trials Resume
Ron Jacobs
Out of the Haze, Into the Darkness:
Recalling 1979
Website of the Day
Why Publishing Can't be Saved (as it is)
July 17-19, 2009
Alexander Cockburn
"Watch What We Do, Not What We Say"
Nikolas Kozloff
Chiquita in Latin America: From Arbenz to Zelaya
Joanne Mariner
CIA Apples: Bad at the Top of the Tree
Joe Bageant
America's White Underclass
Jonathan Cook
Israeli Road Signs: Wiping Arabic Names Off the Map
Saul Landau
Why So Much Sympathy for Madoff's Dupes and So Little for the Poor?
John Ross
Jurassic Fallout in Mexico
Sue Sturgis
Senator Sessions, Race and Impartiality
Anita Sinha /
Daniel Farbman
The Ricci Case and the Myth of Special Treatment
Peter Morici
Obama's Donut Economics
Pervez Hoodbhoy
Whither Pakistan? A Five-Year Forecast
Ramzy Baroud
Gaza and the Language of Power
Greg Moses
The Real Demand Crisis
Kia Mistilis
The Niger Delta Crisis
Missy Beattie
The Placebo President
David Ker Thomson
How Not to See: Things to Tell Your Eyeballs
James G. Abourezk
Evil Spirits: the Booze Strip in Indian Country
Paul Richards
Why Does Jon Tester Want to Log Wild Montana?
Dave Lindorff
Dark Days for Working People (With Three Small Rays of Light)
Marc Levy
Just Like Hanoi Jane
Matt Siegfried
The Good War Goes Hot
Stephen Martin
Panopticon Blues
Ben Sonnenberg
Sembène's Faat Kiné
David Macaray
Casablanca: When Melodrama Trumped History
Charles R. Larson
A Pakistani, Victorian Novel Celebrating Women
David Yearsley
That's Women for You: Abbas Kiarostami's Così
Lorenzo Wolff
Death Rattle and Roll: the Sound From England's Gutters
Poets' Basement
Payne, Anderson and Williams
Website of the Weekend
Hitler Learns of Sarah Palin's Resignation
July 16, 2009
Paul Craig Roberts
What Economy?
Afshin Rattansi Iranian Planes and the Hidden Toll of Economic Sanctions
Gregory V. Button
The Search for Environmental Justice in Perry County, Alabama
Evan Knappenberger
Profile of a Deserter
Michelle Bollinger
Why is Leonard Peltier Still in Prison?
Russell Mokhiber
White House to ABC News:
No Obama Single-Payer Doc
Belén Fernández
Iranian Penetration, Oh My!
Alice Walker
What is Torture Like? A Letter to Obama
Nicholas Dearden
Paying the Climate Debt: the G-8's Troubling Model
Albert Osueke
Sotomayor and the Identity Mountain
Website of the Day
Sotomayor for the Prosecution
July 15, 2009
Manuel Garcia, Jr.
The Assassination Bureau
Vijay Prashad
A Political Recession
Dean Baker
Stimulus Arithmetic
Ray McGovern
Cheney Sweating Bullets
Jonathan Cook
Jenin's Model of "Economic Peace"
David Rosen
Shouts From the Gallery: the Sotomayor Hearings and the Culture Wars
Eric Walberg
Uighurs vs. Afghans: a Study in Contrast
Greg Moses
Three Dimensions of a Complete Stimulus Plan
Sousan Hammad
Decolonizing Israel
Binoy Kampmark
The Trial of Charles Taylor
Tracy McLellan
The Story of My Arrest
Website of the Day
11 Days in Saudi Gitmo
July 14, 2009
Eamonn McCann
The Emperors of Bombast: Bono, U2 and the Crisis of World Capitalism
Joanne Mariner
Obama's New Euphemism
Franklin Spinney
The Taliban Rope-a-Dope
Steve Heilig
Walking Mount Tam: an Interview with Gary Snyder
Ali Abunimah
Hamas' Choice
Dave Lindorff
The End of "Nice" Health Care Reform
Nikolas Kozloff
The Politics of Destabilization: McCain and Honduras
Ellen Brown
From Golden State to Subprime State
Alice Slater
How US Missile Defense Plans Sabotaged Nuclear Disarmament Talks With Russia
Ron Jacobs
Protest U.S. Aggression
Joe Allen
The Fight to Save James Hickman in Jim Crow-Style Chicago
Website of the Day
Mel Brooks Does the French Revolution
July 13, 2009
Uri Avnery
The Essence of the Regime
Mike Whitney
The Deflating Economy
P. Sainath
How the World Depression Hits Orissa
Gareth Porter
A US / Iraq Conflict on Iran
Paul Moore
Rap in the Streets, Rap in the Suites
Tim Wise
Off the Deep End: Private Clubs, Public Prejudice
Andy Worthington Former Insider Shatters Credibility of Military Commissions
David Macaray
Cartoon Voices:
Serf's Up in Hollywood
Cal Winslow
The Healthcare Worker War
Niranjan Ramakrishnan
Spring in the Time of Obama
Website of the Day
Washington's Deep Game with China
July 10-12, 2009
Alexander Cockburn
Obama's Biden Problem
José Pertierra
The Cuban Five: a Cold War Case in a Post-Cold War World
John Ross
After the Honduran Coup
Conn Hallinan
The Settlements and the Quartet
Nikolas Kozloff
C Street Band: Sex Scandals, Moral Hypocrisy and the Far Right Agenda in Latin America
Clifton Ross /
Marcy Rein
U.S. and Honduras:
Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Good Neighbor
Carl Ginsburg
Summers' Clouded Crystal Ball
Michael Neumann
Say It Loud, Say It Proud: There is No God!
Gilad Atzmon
The Left and Islam:
Thinking Outside of the Secular Box
Jeffrey St. Clair
The Parable of the Golden Parachute
Ellen Hodgson Brown
California Dreamin': How the State Can Beat Its Budget Woes
Jim Goodman
Rural America Needs More Than Listening Sessions
Christopher Bickerton
Europe's New Politics of Hard Times
Wendell Potter
Health Care Industry Adopts Tobacco Lobby's Tactics
Dave Lindorff
CIA Lies: Why Isn't Congress in Open Revolt?
David Ker Thomson
Switchbacking Toward Bastille Day
Anthony DiMaggio
The Michael Jackson Feeding Frenzy
Raymond Lawrence
Michael Jackson as Sexual Pervert: the Calumnies of Peter King
Walid El Houri
Neda and Marwa: a Tale of Two Murdered Women
Stephanie Westbrook
Yes, We Camp
Roger Gaess
The Shades of Highgate Cemetery
David Yearsley
Tara, America's Dream House
Kim Nicolini
Caution: Men at Work, Robbing Banks
Poets' Basement
Five Poems From the Japanese
Website of the Weekend
Free Tiga and Hugh!
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August 10, 2009
It's a Planned Demolition
There is No Recession
By MIKE WHITNEY
Credit is not flowing. In fact, credit is contracting. When credit contracts in a consumer-driven economy, bad things happen. Business investment drops, unemployment soars, earnings plunge, and GDP shrinks. The Fed has spent more than a trillion dollars trying to get consumers to start borrowing again, but without success. The country's credit engines are slowing to a crawl.
Fed chairman Ben Bernanke has increased excess reserves in the banking system by $800 billion, but lending is still slow. The banks are hoarding capital in order to deal with the losses from toxic assets, non performing loans, and a $3.5 trillion commercial real estate bubble that's following housing into the toilet. That's why the rate of bank failures is accelerating. 2010 will be even worse; the list is growing. It's a bloodbath.
The standards for conventional loans have gotten tougher while the pool of qualified credit-worthy borrowers has shrunk. That means less credit flowing into the system. The shadow banking system has been hobbled by the freeze in securitization and only provides a trifling portion of the credit needed to grow the economy. Bernanke's initiatives haven't made a bit of difference. Credit continues to shrivel.
The S&P 500 is up 50 per cent from its March lows. The financials, retail, materials and industrials are leading the pack. It's a "Green Shoots" bear market rally fueled by the Fed's Quantitative Easing (QE) which is forcing liquidity into the financial system and lifting equities. The same thing happened during the Great Depression. Stocks surged after 1929. Then the prevailing trend took hold and dragged the Dow down 89 per cent from its earlier highs. The S&P's March lows will be tested before the recession is over. Systemwide deleveraging is ongoing. The economy is resetting at a lower rate of activity.
No one is fooled by the fireworks on Wall Street. Consumer confidence is still falling. Everyone knows things are bad. Everyone knows the mainstream press is lying. The restaurants and malls are empty, the homeless shelters are bulging, and even the big-box stores have stopped hiring. The only "green shoots" are on Wall Street where everyone gets a handout from Uncle Sugar.
Bernanke has pulled out all the stops. He's lowered interest rates to zero, backstopped the entire financial system with $13 trillion, propped up insolvent financial institutions and monetized $1 trillion in mortgage-backed securities and US sovereign debt. Nothing has worked. Wages are falling, banks are cutting lines of credit, retirement savings have been slashed in half, and home equity losses continue to mount. Living standards can no longer be bandaged together with VISA or Diners Club cards. Household spending has to fit within one's salary. That's why retail, travel, home improvement, luxury items and hotels are all down double-digits. The money has dried up.
According to Bloomberg:
"Borrowing by U.S. consumers dropped in June for the fifth straight month as the unemployment rate rose, getting loans remained difficult and households put off major purchases. Consumer credit fell $10.3 billion, or 4.92 percent at an annual rate, to $2.5 trillion, according to a Federal Reserve report released today in Washington. Credit dropped by $5.38 billion in May, more than previously estimated. The series of declines is the longest since 1991.
“A jobless rate near the highest in 26 years, stagnant wages and falling home values mean consumer spending... will take time to recover even as the recession eases. Incomes fell the most in four years in June as one-time transfer payments from the Obama administration’s stimulus plan dried up, and unemployment is forecast to exceed 10 percent next year before retreating."
What a mess. The Fed has assumed near-dictatorial powers to fight a monster of its own making, and achieved nothing. The real economy is still dead in the water. Bernanke is not getting any traction from his zero-percent interest rates. His monetization program (QE) is just scaring off foreign creditors. On Friday, Marketwatch reported:
"The Federal Reserve will probably allow its $300 billion Treasury-buying program to end over the next six weeks as signs of a housing recovery prompt the central bank to unwind one its most aggressive and unusual interventions into financial markets, big bond dealers say."
Right. Does anyone believe the housing market is recovering? In the first 6 months of 2009, there have already been 1.9 million foreclosures.
The Fed is abandoning the printing presses (presumably) because China told Geithner to stop printing money or they'd sell their US Treasuries. It's a wake-up call to Bernanke that the power is shifting from Washington to Beijing.
That puts Bernanke in a pickle. If he stops printing; interest rates will skyrocket, stocks will crash and housing prices will tumble. But if he continues, China will dump their Treasurys and there will be a run on the dollar. What to do? Either way, the malaise in the credit markets will persist and personal consumption will continue to sputter.
The basic problem is that consumers are buried beneath a mountain of debt and have no choice except to curtail their spending and begin to save. Currently, the the ratio of debt to personal disposable income, is 128 per cent, just a tad below its all-time high of 133 per cent in 2007. According to the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco's "Economic Letter: US Household Deleveraging and Future Consumption Growth":
"The combination of higher debt and lower saving enabled personal consumption expenditures to grow faster than disposable income, providing a significant boost to U.S. economic growth over the period. In the long run, however, consumption cannot grow faster than income because there is an upper limit to how much debt households can service, based on their incomes. For many U.S. households, current debt levels appear too high, as evidenced by the sharp rise in delinquencies and foreclosures in recent years. To achieve a sustainable level of debt relative to income, households may need to undergo a prolonged period of deleveraging, whereby debt is reduced and saving is increased.
“Going forward, it seems probable that many U.S. households will reduce their debt. If accomplished through increased saving, the deleveraging process could result in a substantial and prolonged slowdown in consumer spending relative to pre-recession growth rates." ("U.S. Household Deleveraging and Future Consumption Growth, by Reuven Glick and Kevin J. Lansing, FRBSF Economic Letter")
A careful reading of the FRBSF's Economic Letter shows why the economy will not bounce back. It's mathematically impossible. We've reached peak credit; consumers have to deleverage and patch their balance sheets. Household wealth has slipped $14 trillion since the crisis began. Home equity has dropped to 41 per cent (a new low) and joblessness is on the rise. By 2011, Deutsche Bank AG predicts that 48 per cent of all homeowners with a mortgage will be underwater. As the equity position of homeowners deteriorates, banks will further tighten credit and foreclosures will mushroom.
The executive board of the IMF does not share Wall Street's rosy view of the future, which is why it issued a memo that stated:
"Directors observed that the crisis will have important implications for the role of the United States in the global economy. The U.S. consumer is unlikely to play the role of global “buyer of last resort”— other regions will need to play an increased role in supporting global growth."
The United States will not be the emerge as the center of global demand following the recession. Those days are over. The world is changing and the US role is getting smaller. As US markets become less attractive to foreign exporters, the dollar will lose its position as the world's reserve currency. As goes the dollar, so goes the empire. Want some advice: Learn Mandarin.
Sagging Employment: A "recoveryless" recovery
July's employment numbers came in better than expected (negative 247,000) lowering total unemployment from 9.5 per cent to 9.4 per cent. That's good. Things are getting worse at a slower pace. But what's striking about the BLS report is that there's no jobs surge in any sector of the economy. No signs of life. Outsourcing and offshoring are ongoing, and downsizing the path to profitability. That's why revenues are down while profits are up. Businesses everywhere are anticipating weaker demand. The jobs report is a one-off event; a lull in the storm before the layoffs resume.
Unemployment is rising, wages are falling and credit is contracting. All the money is flowing upwards to the gangsters at the top. Here's an excerpt from a recent Don Monkerud article that sums it all up:
"During eight years of the Bush Administration, the 400 richest Americans, who now own more than the bottom 150 million Americans, increased their net worth by $700 billion. In 2005, the top one per cent claimed 22 per cent of the national income, while the top ten per cent took half of the total income, the largest share since 1928.
“Over 40 per cent of GNP comes from Fortune 500 companies. According to the World Institute for Development Economics Research, the 500 largest conglomerates in the U.S. "control over two-thirds of the business resources, employ two-thirds of the industrial workers, account for 60 per cent of the sales, and collect over 70 per cent of the profits."
... In 1955, IRS records indicated the 400 richest people in the country were worth an average $12.6 million, adjusted for inflation. In 2006, the 400 richest increased their average to $263 million, representing an epochal shift of wealth upward in the U.S." ("Wealth Inequality destroys US Ideals" Don Monkerud, consortiumnews.com)
Working people are not being crushed by accident, but according to plan. It is the way the system is designed to work. Bernanke knows that sustained demand requires higher wages and a vital middle class. But Bernanke works for the banks, which is why the Fed's monetary policies reflect the goals of the investor class. Bubblenomics is not the way to a strong/sustainable economy, but it is an effective tool for shifting wealth from one class to another. The Fed's job is to facilitate that objective, which is why the economy is headed for the rocks.
The financial meltdown is the logical outcome of the Fed's monetary policies. That's why it's a mistake to call the current slump a "recession". It's not. It's a planned demolition.
Mike Whitney lives in Washington state. He can be reached at fergiewhitney@msn.com
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Born Under a Bad Sky:
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RED STATE REBELS:
Tales of Grassroots Resistance from the Heartland

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How the Press Led
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The Occupation
by Patrick Cockburn






Humanitarian Imperialism
By Jean Bricmont
           
CITY BEAUTIFUL
By Tennessee Reed         
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