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Inside the New Print Edition of CounterPunch: a Special Report by David Price on the CIA on Campus

The CIA's New Campus Spies: Meet "PRISP", it may be at work on a campus near you. Program doles out cash to train tomorrow's spooks ; they say it's like ROTC, only it's all secret; a hundred spooklets on campus today; thousands down the road; pay back your loan by translating for torturers in tomorrow's Abu Ghraibs; meet PRISP's Frankenstein, Prof Felix Moos; anthropologists and the CIA, a deadly embrace by David Price; ALSO Alexander Cockburn on Disaster Relief as Scam; air-conditioned tents for the NGOs and money to burn; how tourist "development" deepened tsunami's impact; why governments love "relief". AND Humans and Woodchippers: When small isn't beautiful. Remember these stories are available exclusively in the print edition of CounterPunch. CounterPunch Online is read by millions of viewers each month! But remember, we are funded solely by the subscribers to the print edition of CounterPunch. Please support this website by buying a subscription to our newsletter, which contains fresh material you won't find anywhere else, or by making a donation for the online edition. Remember contributions are tax-deductible. Click here to make a donation. If you find our site useful please: Subscribe Now!

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Wars of the Laptop Bombers

 

Today's Stories

February 4, 2005

Ron Jacobs
The Downward Spiral in Iraq

February 3, 2005

Ward Churchill
On the Injustice of Getting Smeared: a Campaign of Fabrications and Gross Distortions

Sharon Smith
Resisting Soldiers Need Our Support

Mickey Z.
Leslie Gelb Asks Iraq: Who's Your Daddy?

Mike Whitney
President of Alienation: a Desperate State of the Union

Jenna Orkin
9/11 the Sequel: the Toxic State of Lower Manhattan

Saul Landau
Elections Won't Prevent Civil War in Iraq

Yitzhak Laor
Strange is the Silence

Dave Lindorff
The Assault on Social Security: a New Campaign of Lies

 

February 2, 2005

David Domke / Kevin Coe
Bush's Brand of Christianity

Noam Chomsky
Iraq After the Elections

M. Shahid Alam
O'Reilly's Fatwah on "Un-American" Professors: FoxNews Puts Me in Its Crosshairs

Richard Oxman
Ringing in 1984 with Ward Churchill and Derrick Jensen

Joshua Frank
The Suckering of Howard Dean

Dave Lindorff
A History Lesson from the NYT

Nina Hartley
Feminists for Porn

Website of the Day
War is a Racket

 

February 1, 2005

Joshua L. Dratel
The Torture Memos

Patrick Cockburn
New Doubts About Allawi

Robert Fisk
"The Only Decent Food We Get is at Funerals"

Uri Avnery
The Stalemate

Col. Dan Smith
"W" Stands for Withdrawal

Alison Weir
Making America as "Secure" as Israel

Alan Farago
Heaven and Hell in the Everglades

Ray Hanania
Low Voter Turnout of Iraqi Expatriates: Less Than 10% of Qualified Voters

Paul Craig Roberts
American Police State

Website of the Day
Statisticians Refute Official Rationale for Exit Poll Errors

 

 

 

January 31, 2005

Dave Zirin
Mr. Frank's Fatwah: New Republic Writer Calls for Death & Torture of Arundhati Roy and Stan Goff

Robert Fisk
Amid Tragedy, Defiance

Chyng Sun
Gonzales: Chief Prosecutor of Porn?

Greg Moses
The Real Scandals of the Texas Election

Mike Whitney
Cheney at Auschwitz

Ali Tonak
Turkey and the EU: Fantasies and Ultimatums

Patrick Cockburn
A Victory for the Shia

Website of the Day
Voting by the Script: Where Did the 8 Million Voter Turnout Figure Come From?

 

 

January 29 / 30, 2005

Manuel Yang / Peter Linebaugh
A Dialogue About Murder in Toledo

Gabriel Kolko
Wilsonian and Neoconservative Myths

Patrick Cockburn
Baghdad: City of Empty Streets

Robert Fisk
This Election Will Change the World, But Not as the US Wanted

Linn Washington, Jr.
Con Job: Bush Pledges on Racism Lack Realism

Bernard Chazelle
Why the Children of Iraq Make No Sound When They Fall

Gary Leupp
"This Kind of Subject Matter": Bush's New Ed Secretary vs. Vermont's Lesbians

JoAnn Wypijewski
The Passion of Paul Shanley

Alexander Cockburn
The Case of Father Jerry

Ron Jacobs
Ballot of the Puppets in Iraq

Brian Cloughley
Smart Bombs; Wrong House: Iraq's Civilian Dead

Fred Gardner
Peron May Split

Sister Dianna Ortiz
Memo to Bush from a Survivor of the Guatemalan Torturers: Stop the Torture!

Tom Reeves
How Bush Brings Freedom to the World: the Case of Haiti

Fran Quigley
Report: Haiti Now "More Violent and More Inhuman"

Suzan Mazur
"Mr. Garsin from Kinshasa": an Old Hand Weighs In on the Murder of Lumumba

Kurt Nimmo
Condi Rice and the Neocon Plan for the Palestinians

Lenni Brenner
Holocaust History: Beyond the UN's Rhetoric

Gilad Atzmon
The Politics of Auschwitz

Luis Gomez
Power and Autonomy in Bolivia

Mark Gaffney
NASA Searches for a Snowball in Hell: Why Velikovsky Matters

Ben Tripp
Lament of the Mnemonopath

Richard Oxman
Meet the Fuqers

Poets' Basement
Louise, Collins, Shanahan and Albert

Website of the Weekend
Chemical Industry: Deceit and Denial

 

 

January 28, 2005

Rachard Itani
Tsunami Aid By the Numbers: the US Really is a Miser

Jensen / Youngblood
Iraq's Non-Election

Patrick Cockburn / Elizabeth Davies
Attacks on Polling Places Leave 13 Dead

Dave Zirin
The Great Donovan McNabb: Proud "Black Quarterback"

Dave Lindorff
Suicide by State Execution?

Karyn Strickler
A Corporate Death Penalty Act?

Jorge Mariscal
Fighting the Poverty Draft

 

 

January 27, 2005

Seymour Hersh
We've Been Taken Over By a Cult

Cockburn / Sengupta
The US's Bloodiest Day in Iraq

Dave Lindorff
Juke Box Journalism: Shilling for Bush

Ignacio Chapela / John F. García
The Laws of Nature

Mike Whitney
The Widening Chasm Among Conservatives

Dr. Teresa Whitehurst
Those Liberal Southern Baptists!

Ray McGovern
Reining In Cheney

Russ Wellen
Marginalizing Bin Laden

Christopher Brauchli
The FBI's Carnival of Errors

Website of the Day
Informed Eating

 

 

 

 

January 26, 2005

Saree Makdisi
An Iron Wall of Colonization: Fantasies and Realities About the Prospects for Middle East Peace

Scott Fleming
In Good Conscience: an Interview with Concientious Objector Aidan Delgado

Dave Lindorff
Filling Saddam's Shoes: the Puppet Regime Return's to Torture

Niranjan Ramakrishnan
Salazar and Obama: Two Dismal Debuts

Toni Solo
The US and Latin America: a Not-So-Magical Reality

William James Martin
Condoleezza Rice: Confused About the Middle East

William A. Cook
Bush's Second Inaugural Address: the Lost Ur-Version

Eric Hobsbawm
Delusions About Democracy

Alexander Cockburn
The CIA's New Campus Spies

 

 

January 25, 2005

Brian Cloughley
Iraq as Disneyland

Mike Roselle
Satan is My Co-Pilot

Josh Frank / Merlin Chowkwanyun
The War on Civil Liberties

John Chuckman
Freedom on Steroids

Paul Craig Roberts
A Party Without Virtue

Dr. Teresa Whitehurst
The Intolerance of Christian Conservatives

James Petras
The US / Colombia Plot Against Venezuela

Website of the Day
Lowbaggers for the Environment

 

 

January 24, 2005

Fred Gardner
Last Monologue in Burbank

Lori Berenson
On the Politicization of My Case

Uri Avnery
King George

January 22 / 23, 2005

Jennifer Van Bergen / Ray Del Papa
Nuclear Incident in Montana

Alexander Cockburn
Prince Harry's Travails

Jeffrey St. Clair
The Company That Runs the Empire: Lockheed and Loaded

Stan Goff
The Spectacle

Saul Landau
Nothing Succeeds Like Failure

Gary Leupp
Official Madness and the Coming War on Iran

Fred Gardner
Is GW Getting the Runaround?

Phil Gasper
Clemency Denied: the Politics of Death in California

Stanley Heller
A Kill-Happy Government: Connecticut Chooses Death

Greg Moses
The Heart of Texas: an Inauguration Day Betrayal on Civil Rights

Justin Taylor
The Folk-Histories of John Ross

Daniel Burton-Rose
One China; Many Problems

Elaine Cassel
Try a Little Tyranny: Questions While Watching the Inaugural

Mike Whitney
Failing Upwards: the Rise of Michael Chertoff

Mark L. Berenson
My Daughter Has Been Wrongly Imprisoned

Christopher Brauchli
It Doesn't Compute: a $170 Million Mistake

Gilad Atzmon
Zionism and Other Marginal Thoughts

Niranjan Ramakrishnan
Day of the Rats

Mark Donham
The Secret Messages of Rahm Emmanuel

Ben Tripp
Adventures in Online Dating

Walter Brasch
Hollywood's Patriots: Soulless Kooks, Mr. Bush?

Poets' Basement
Wuest, Landau, Ford, Albert & Drum

 

 

January 21, 2005

Dave Lindorff
A Great American Journalist:
John L. Hess (1917-2005)

Sharon Smith
The Anti-War Movement and the Iraqi Resistance

Don Santina
Baseball, Racism and Steroid Hysteria

Ron Jacobs
Locked Out and Pissed Off: Protesting the Bush Inauguration

Kurt Nimmo
The Problem with Mike Ruppert

Don Monkerud
Once They Were Cults: Bush's Faith-Based Social Services

Alan Farago
Swimming Home from the Galapagos

Derek Seidman
An Interview with Army Medic and Anti-War Activist Patrick Resta

 

 

 

January 20, 2005

Paul Craig Roberts
Dying for Sycophants

William Cook
The Bush Inauguration: A Mock Epic Fertility Rite

Joshua Frank
The Democrats and Iran: Look Who's Backing Bush's Next

Eric Ruder
Why Andres Raya Snapped: Another Casualty of Bush's War

Mike Whitney
Coronation in a Garrison State

Robert Jensen
A Citizens Oath of Office

Peter Rost
Bush Report on Drug Imports: Good Data, Bad Conclusions

David Underhill
Is It Torture Yet?: the Eclectic Fool Aid Torture Test

James Reiss
Adieu, Colin Powell: Pea Soup in Foggy Bottom

CounterPunch Staff
Voices from Abu Ghraib: the Injured Party

 

 

 

January 19, 2005

Marta Russell
Social Security Privatization & Disability: 8 Million at Risk

Mike Ferner
Marines Stretching Movement: Protesting Urban Warfare in Toledo

Nancy Oden
The Nuremberg Principles, Iraq and Torture

Tony Paterson
A Catalogue of British Abuses in Iraq

Dave Lindorff
Bush's Divide-and-Conquer Plan to Destroy Social Security

Doug Giebel
BS and CBS: When 60 Minutes Helped Promote WMD Fantasies

Alexander Cockburn
Will Bush Quit Iraq?

 

 

 

January 18, 2005

Paul Craig Roberts
How Americans Were Seduced by War: Empire and Militant Christianity

Jennifer Van Bergen
Federal Judge: Abu Ghraib Abuses Result of Decision to Ignore Geneva Conventions

Douglas Lummis
It's a No Brainer; Send Graner: a Rap for Our Time

Ron Jacobs
Syria Back in the Crosshairs?

Seth DeLong
Enter the Dragon: Will Washington Tolerate a Venezuelan-Chinese Oil Pact?

Lance Selfa
Stolen Election?: Most Democrats Didn't Even Bother to Inquire

Paul D. Johnson
Mystery Meat: a Right-to-Know About Food Origins

Elisa Salasin
An Open Letter to Jenna Bush, Future Teacher

 

 

January 17, 2005

Heather Gray
Misconceptions About King's Methods for Social Change

Robert Fisk
Hotel Room Journalism: the US Press in Iraq

Dave Lindorff
What the NYT Death Chart Omitted: Civilians Slaughtered by US Military

Jason Leopold
Sam Bodman's Smokestacks: Bush's Choice for Energy Czar is One of Texas's Worst Polluters

Gary Leupp
A Message from the Iraqi Resistance

Douglas Valentine
An Act of State? the Execution of Martin Luther King

Harvey Arden
Welcome to Leavenworth: My First Encounter with Leonard Peltier

Greg Moses
King and the Christian Left: Where Lip Service is Not an Option

 

January 15 / 16, 2005

James Petras
The Kidnapping of a Revolutionary

Robert Fisk
Flying Carpet Airlines: My Return to Baghdad

Ron Jacobs
Unfit for Military Service

Brian Cloughley
Smack Daddies of the Hindu Kush: Afghanistan's Drug Bonanza

Fred Gardner
The Allowable-Quantity Expert

Dr. Susan Block
The Counter-Inaugural Ball: Eros Day, 2005

John Ross
Zapatista Literary Llife

Suzan Mazur
Unspooking Frank Carlucci

M. Shahid Alam
America's New Civilizing Mission

Frederick B. Hudson
Jack Johnson's Real Opponent: "That I Was a Man"

Mike Whitney
Bush's Grand Plan: Incite Civil War in Iraq

Tom Crumpacker
A Constitutional Right to Travel to Cuba

Bob Burton
The Other Armstrong Williams Scandal

John Callender
La Conchita and the Indomitable 82-Year Old

Lila Rajiva
Christian Zionism

Saul Landau
An Imperial Portrait: a Visit to Hearst's Castle

Doug Soderstrom
A Touch of Evil: the Morality of Neoconservatism

Poets' Basement
Davies, Louise, Landau, Albert, Collins and Laymon

 

 

January 14, 2005

Robert Fisk
"The Tent of Occupation"

Lee Sustar
Bush's Social Security Con Job

José M. Tirado
The Christians I Know

Dave Zirin
The Legacy of Jack Johnson

Sheldon Rampton
Calling John Rendon: a True Tale of "Military Intelligence"

Tracy McLellan
Under the Influence

Yves Engler
The Dictatorship of Debt: the World Bank and Haiti

Tom Barry
Robert Zoellick: a Bush Family Man

Website of the Day
Ryan for the Nobel Prize?

 

 

January 13, 2005

Mark Chmiel / Andrew Wimmer
Hearts and Minds, Revisited

Joe DeRaymond
The Salvador Option: Terror, Elections and Democracy

Greg Moses
Every Hero a Killer?...Not

Dave Lindorff
The Great WMD Fraud: Time for an Accounting

Jorge Mariscal
Dr. Galarza v. Alberto Gonzales: Which Way for Latinos?

Christopher Brauchli
Gonzales and the Death Penalty: the Executioner Never Sleeps

Gary Leupp
"Fighting for the Work of the Lord": Christian Fascism in America

 

 

January 12, 2005

Robert Fisk
Fear Stalks Baghdad

Josh Frank
The Farce of the DNC Contest

Jack Random
Casualties of War: the Untold Stories

John Roosa
Aceh's Dual Disasters: the Tsunami and Military Rule

Carol Norris
In the Wake of the Tsunami

Mike Whitney
Pink Slips at CBS

Alan Farago
Can the Everglades be Saved?

Paul Craig Roberts
What's Our Biggest Problem in Iraq...the Insurgency or Bush?

 

 

January 11, 2005

Tom Barry
The US isn't "Stingy"; It's Strategic: Aid as a Weapon of Foreign Policy

James Hodge and Linda Cooper
Voice of the Voiceless: Father Roy Bourgeois and the School of the the Americas

Linda S. Heard
Farah Radio Break Down: Joseph Farah's Messages of Hate and Homophobia

Derrick O'Keefe
Electoral Gigolo?: Richard Gere and the Occupied Vote

Gila Svirsky
A Tale of Two Elections

Harry Browne
Irish "Peace Process", RIP

 

January 10, 2005

Ramzy Baroud
Faith-Based Disasters: Tsunami Aid and War Costs

Talli Nauman
Killing Journalists: Mexico's War on a Free Press

Uri Avnery
Sharon's Monologue

Dave Lindorff
Tucker Carlson's Idiot Wind

Dave Zirin
Randy Moss's Moondance

Dave Silver
Left Illusions About the Democratic Party

Charles Demers
Plan Salvador for Iraq: Death Squads Come in Waves

William A. Cook
Causes and Consequences: Bush, Osama and Israel

 

 

January 8 / 9, 2005

Alexander Cockburn
Say, Waiter, Where's the Blood in My Margarita Glass?

John H. Summers
Chomsky and Academic History

Greg Moses
Getting Real About the Draft

Walter A. Davis
Bible Says: the Psychology of Christian Fundamentalism

Victor Kattan
The EU and Middle East Peace

John Bolender
The Plight of Iraq's Mandeans

Robert Fisk
The Politics of Lebanon

Fred Gardner
Situation NORML

Joe Bageant
The Politics of the Comfort Zone

Mickey Z.
I Want My DDT: Little Nicky Kristof Bugs Out

Ben Tripp
CounterClockwise Evolution

Ron Jacobs
Elvis and His Truck: Out on Highway 61

Saul Landau
Sex and the Country

Rep. Cynthia McKinney
Time to End the Blackout

Ellen Cantarow
NPR's Distortions on Palestine

Richard Oxman
Bageantry Continued

Poets' Basement
Gaffney, Landau, Albert, Collins


January 7, 2005

Omar Barghouti
Slave Sovereignty: Elections Under Occupation

Kent Paterson
The Framing of Felipe Arreaga: Another Mexican Environmentalist Arrested

Niranjan Ramakrishnan
Old Vijay Merchant and the Tsunami

David Krieger
Cancel the Inauguration Parties

Gideon Levy
New Year, Old Story

Dave Lindorff
Ohio Protest: First Shot Fired by Congressional Progressives

Christopher Brauchli
Privatizing the IRS

Roger Burbach / Paul Cantor
Bush, the Pentagon and the Tsunami

 

 

January 6, 2005

Brian J. Foley
Gonzales: Supporting Torture is not His Greatest Sin

Greg Moses
Boot Up America!: Gen. Helmly's Memo Leaks New Bush Deal

Petras / Chomsky
An Open Letter to Hugo Chavez

Alan Maass
The Decline of the Dollar

Dave Lindorff
Colin Powell's Selective Sense of Horror

Jenna Orkin
The EPA and a Dirty Bomb: 9/11's Disastrous Precedent

P. Sainath
The Tsunami and India's Coastal Poor

 

 

January 5, 2005

Alan Farago
2004: An Environmental Retrospective

Winslow T. Wheeler
Oversight Detected?: Sen. McCain and the Boeing Tanker Scam

Jean-Guy Allard
Gary Webb: a Cuban Perspective

Fred Gardner
Strutting, Smirking, As If The Mad Plan Was Working

David Swanson
Albert Parsons on the Gallows

Richard Oxman
The Joe Bageant Interview

Bruce Jackson
Death on the Living Room Floor

 

 

 

January 4, 2005

Michael Ortiz Hill
Mainlining Apocalypse

Elaine Cassel
They Say They Can Lock You Up for Life Without a Trial

Yoram Gat
The Year in Torture

Martin Khor
Tragic Tales and Urgent Tasks from the Tsunami Disaster

Gary Leupp
Death and Life in the Andaman Islands

 

January 3, 2005

Ron Jacobs
The War Hits Home

Dave Lindorff
Is There a Single Senator Who Will Stand Up for Black Voters?

Mike Whitney
The Guantanamo Gulag

Joshua Frank
Greens and Republicans: Strange Bedfellows

Maria Tomchick
Playing Politics with Disaster Aid

Rhoda and Mark Berenson
Our Daughter Lori: Another Year of Grave Injustice

David Swanson
The Media and the Ohio Recount

Kathleen Christison
Patronizing the Palestinians

 

 

January 1 / 2, 2005

Gary Leupp
Earthquakes and End Times, Past and Present

Rev. William E. Alberts
On "Moral Values": Code Words for Emerging Authoritarian Tendencies

M. Shahid Alam
Testing Free Speech in America

Stan Goff
A Period for Pedagogy

Brian Cloughley
Bush and the Tsunami: the Petty and the Petulant

Sylvia Tiwon / Ben Terrall
The Aftermath in Aceh

Ben Tripp
Requiem for 2004

Greg Moses
A Visible Future?

Steven Sherman
The 2004 Said Awards: Books Against Empire

Sean Donahue
The Erotics of Nonviolence

James T. Phillips
The Beast's Belly

David Krieger
When Will We Ever Learn

Poets' Basement
Soderstrom, Hamod, Louise and Albert

 

 

 

 

December 23, 2004

Chad Nagle
Report from Kiev: Yushchenko's Not Quite Ready for Sainthood

David Smith-Ferri
The Real UN Disgrace in Iraq

Bill Quigley
Death Watch for Human Rights in Haiti

Mickey Z.
Crumbs from Our Table

Christopher Brauchli
Merck's Merry X-mas

Greg Moses
When No Law Means No Law

Alan Singer
An Encounter with Sen. Schumer: a Very Dangerous Democrat

David Price
Social Security Pump and Dump

Website of the Day
Gabbo Gets Laid

 

December 22, 2004

James Petras
An Open Letter to Saramago: Nobel Laureate Suffers from a Bizarre Historical Amnesia

Omar Barghouti
The Case for Boycotting Israel

Patrick Cockburn / Jeremy Redmond
They Were Waiting on Chicken Tenders When the Rounds Hit

Harry Browne
Northern Ireland: No Postcards from the Edge

Richard Oxman
On the Seventh Column

Kathleen Christison
Imagining Palestine

Website of the Day
FBI Torture Memos

 

 

December 21, 2004

Greg Moses
The New Zeus on the Block: Unplugging Al-Manar TV

Dave Lindorff
Losing It in America: Bunker of the Skittish

Chad Nagle
The View from Donetsk

Dragon Pierces Truth*
Concrete Colossus vs. the River Dragon: Dislocation and Three Gorges Dam

Patrick Cockburn
"Things Always Get Worse"

Seth DeLong
Aiding Oppression in Haiti

Ahmad Faruqui
Pakistan and the 9/11 Commission's Report

Paul Craig Roberts
America Locked Up: a System of Injustice

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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February 4, 2005

No Exit

The Downward Spiral in Iraq

By RON JACOBS

In recent weeks, the Pentagon has reiterated several times that it plans to reassign some 5000 to 10,000 US troops from their current combat roles in Iraq. According to their press releases, these troops will no longer be involved in combat but will be used instead to train Iraqi troops. What exactly does this mean? Will these US troops no longer be involved in fighting? Are they hanging up their weapons for power point presentations?

Not exactly.

In reality, this reassignment is little more than a change in terminology. You know, kind of like when your boss gives you a new title that doesn't involve more money or more free time, just more work. In short, these troops will be killing and dying just like before, only now they'll be doing it under the guise of instruction. The aim of this exercise is to create the pretense that Iraqis are taking over more of the combat in Iraq, thereby allowing the war makers in DC greater leeway in terms of withdrawal and redeployment.

For the Pentagon and other war makers, the ideal situation in Iraq would be this: the training of Iraqi troops will create a situation in the not too distant future whereby Iraqis can take over the most deadly missions, with US troops providing air and ground cover. Under this scenario, it will be the Iraqis taking most of the bullets, although if Vietnam is any indication, there will still be a lot of US casualties, since US troops will still be involved in combat. In the less than ideal scenario, these US advisors will be advising in name only and will in actuality still be doing most of the fighting. Obviously, which scenario plays out depends a lot on how representative the US-installed government is considered to be by the Iraqi people.

Once again, if Vietnam is any indication-and it seems to be in terms of the broader strategy being employed by the US-the Iraqi government will not be able to address the hopes and concerns of the Iraqis because of its reliance on Washington and the insurgency will become broader and even more deadly. Then, the only role that the advisors will have will be to protect their own and consequently involve themselves in the day-to-day combat in the country.

In his 2005 State of the Union address, George Bush hinted at a US exit strategy from Iraq. It's not like he said that US troops would be back home by June or even December of this year. He did, however, seem to express the hope that the so-called elections of January 30, 2005 would somehow translate into some kind of honorable way to extricate most US troops from that country. Meanwhile, from the other side of his mouth, Mr. Bush restated that US troops would not be tied to a timetable, even if asked to provide one by the new political leaders in Baghdad. In fact, the only way the US will remove its troops from Iraq is if the people of the United States insist on it to such an extent that the people in Congress have no choice but to respond to our demands.

Right now, with many US residents fooled by the mainstream media's presentation of the Iraqi election as being fair and representative, the war party has some time to figure out what to do next. One assumes that Bush and his Congress hope that the boasts of their man Allawi regarding the defeat of the insurgency pan out. If they did, then the US military could pull back to its system of bases in Iraq and wait for their next orders to attack. Somehow, I don't think this is likely to happen. If previous patterns of the insurgents are any indication (and I admit one can't honestly tell from where I sit), they are not going away and will probably begin their battle sooner rather than later.

Additionally, if the patterns of the US occupation continue, the new National Assembly will soon realize how little power it actually has, especially if it tries to establish its legitimacy outside of the parameters set by the occupation authorities. This realization will cause some of its members to throw their lot in with the occupiers. It will cause others-in fact, probably most of its members-to reject the occupation to varying degrees.

As for the general population, if they perceive that their votes were a waste of their time and energy because their electricity still doesn't work and US troops are still breaking into their houses and arresting and killing their menfolk and whoever else gets in their way, one can expect a general radicalization. Popular demonstrations against the occupation will increase in size and frequency and the armed insurgency will grow. This time around it wouldn't be limited to one particular segment of the populace like it seems to be today (albeit a substantial segment).

Military advisors won't be able to step away from the combat very much should this happen. Instead, they will find themselves trying to motivate the Iraqi forces under their command and, at the least, keep those troops from either quitting or joining the other side. Should Iraq spiral downward into civil war, US advisers won't be doing much advising either. They'll be too busy fighting.

Whether the lines divide along religious and ethnic differences or solely around the question of those who support the US-installed regime and those who don't, any outbreak of civil war will be violent and bloody. Since Washington has so much invested in the country and their military operations there already, the world can be pretty certain that an Iraqi civil war would mean greater US involvement, not less. After all, that oil and all it portends is still there and Washington has no intention of letting anybody have it unless they give them the go-ahead.

Ron Jacobs is author of The Way the Wind Blew: a history of the Weather Underground, which is just republished by Verso. Jacobs' essay on Big Bill Broonzy is featured in CounterPunch's new collection on music, art and sex, Serpents in the Garden. He can be reached at: rjacobs@zoo.uvm.edu

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