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Today's
Stories
February 15, 2006
Amira Hass
Down the Expulsion Highway
Robert Bryce
The United States of Enron
February
14, 2006
John Sugg
Those Cartoons and the Neo Con: Daniel
Pipes and the Danish Editor
Don
Santina
DiFi and the Royal Democrats: the
Curious Withdrawal of Cindy Sheehan
William A.
Cook
Shaming Sharon
Ray
McGovern
Who Will Blow the Whistle About
Iran?
John
Ross
Bush's Mexican Poodle
Website
of the Day
Willie
Nelson Records CPer Ned Sublette's "Cowboys Are Frequently
Secretly"
February 13, 2006
Lila
Rajiva
Axis of Child Abusers: UK Troops Beat
Up Barefoot Iraqi Teens
Christopher
Brauchli
Whistleblowers and Witch Hunters:
the Bush Inquisition
Dave
Lindorff
Deadeye Dick: If Stupidity Were
Impeachable, Cheney Would Be History
Ron
Jacobs
Black Liberation
Mike
Whitney
Riding High with Hugo Chavez
Michael
Neumann
Respectful Cultures and Disrespectful
Cartoons
Website
of the Day
Virtual Resistance
February
11 / 12, 2006
Alexander
Cockburn
How Not to Spot a Terrorist
Ralph Nader
Bringing Democracy to the Federal Reserve
Paul Craig Roberts
Nuking the Economy
Pat Williams
John Boehner's Dirty Little Secret:
Flying Lobbyist Air at $4,000 a Junket
Fred Gardner
Dr. Mikuriya's Appeal: a Last Minute
Twist
Saul Landau
From Munich to Hamas
John Chuckman
Cartoons and Bombs: Was Rice Right
for Once?
Roger Burbach
Evo Morales: the Early Days
Seth Sandronsky
Economy on Ice
Website of the Weekend
Just Say Know
February 10, 2006
Carl
G. Estabrook
A US War Plan for Khuzestan?
Sen.
Russell Feingold
A Raw Deal on the Patriot Act
Roxanne
Dunbar----Ortiz
How Did Evo Morales Come to Power?
Saree Makdisi
The Tempest Over the Hamas Charter
Website of the Day
The
New York Art Scene: 1974----1984
February 9, 2006
Dave Lindorff
Bush
and Yamashita: War Crimes and Commanders----in----Chief
Mike Marqusee
The
Human Majority was Right About Iraq
Paul Craig Roberts
How Conservatives Went Crazy: the Rightwing Press
Peter Phillips
Inside
the Global Dominance Group: 200 Insiders Against the World
William S. Lind
Rumsfeld the Maximalist: the Long War
Christine Tomlinson Innocent
Targets in the "Long War": False Positives and Bush's
Eavesdropping Program
Will Youmans
Church of England Votes to Divest from Israel
Robert Robideau
An American Indian's View of the Cartoons
Richard Neville
The Cartoons That Shook the World: All This from the Danes, the
Least Funny People on Earth
Peter Rost
The New Robber Barons
Website of the Day
Eyes Wide Open
February 8,
2006
Ron Jacobs
The
Once and Future Sly Stone: Soundtrack to a Riot
Stan Cox
Making
and Unmaking History with General Myers
Sen. Russ Feingold
Why
Bush's Wiretapping Program is Illegal and Unconstitutional
Robert Jensen
Horowitz's
Academic Hit List: Take a Class from One of the CounterPunch
16
Rep. Cynthia McKinney
Bush Should Have Wiretapped FEMA and Chertoff
Niranjan Ramakrishnan
Alberto Gonzales Channels Mark Twain
Don Monkerud
Covenant Marriage on the Rocks
David Swanson
Inequality and War
C.L. Cook
Nuking Ontario
Christopher
Fons
Chill Out Jihadis: They're Just Cartoons!
Jeffrey Ballinger
The Other Side of Nike and Social Responsibility
Website of
the Day
Encyclopedia of Terrorism in the Americas
February 7,
2006
Edward Lucie----Smith
An
Urgent Plea to Save a Small Estonian Museum from Neo----Nazis
Robert Fisk
The Fury: Now Lebanon is Burning
Paul Craig Roberts
Colin Powell's Career as a "Yes Man"
Neve Gordon
Why Hamas Won
Joshua Frank
The Hillary and George Show: Partners in War
Peter Montague
The Problem with Mercury: a History of Regulatory Capitulation
Jackie Corr
The
Last Best Choice: Public Power and Montana
Jeffrey St.
Clair
Rumsfeld's
Enforcer: the Secret World of Stephen Cambone
Website of the Day
Negroes with Guns
February 6,
2006
Christopher
Brauchli
Spilling
Blood: Two Sentences
Robert Fisk
Don't
Be Fooled: This Isn't About Islam vs. Secularism
John Chuckman
What Did Stephen Harper Actually Win?
Jenna Orkin
Judge Slams EPA for Lying About 9/11's Toxic Air
Paul Craig
Roberts
Who
Will Save America: My Epiphany
February 4
/ 5, 2006
Alexander Cockburn
"Lights
Out in Tehran": McCain Starts Bombing Run
Mike Ferner
Pentagon
Database Leaves No Kid Alone
James Petras
Evo Morales's Cabinet: a Bizarre Beginning in Bolivia
Alan Maass
Scare of the Union: Dems Collaborate with Bush on Surveillance
Fred Gardner
Annals of Law Enforcement: a Look Inside the San Francisco DA's
Office
Ralph Nader
Bush's
Energy Escapades
Bill Glahn
RIAA Watch: Speaking in Tongues
Saul Landau
Freedom 2006: Buying Sex on the Net or Those Older Freedoms?
Laura Carlsen
Bad Blood on the Border: Killing Guillermo Martinez
James Brooks
Our Little Shop of Diplomatic Horrors
Mike Roselle
Hippies and Revolutionaries in Carcacas
John Holt
Black Gold, Black Death: Canada's Oil Sands Frenzy
Sarah Ferguson
Cops Suing Cops ... for Spying on Cops
William S.
Lind
Beware the Ides of March
Niranjan Ramakrishnan
The Price of Globalization: Free Trade or Free Speech?
Seth Sandronsky
The Color of Job Cuts in the Auto Industry
Derrick O'Keefe
Rumsfeld's Hitler Analogy
Michael Donnelly
Hop on the Bus
Ron Jacobs
Religion and Political Power
Elisa Salasin
RSVP to Bush
St. Clair / Vest
Playlists: What We're Listening to This Week
Stew Albert
God's Curse: Selected Poems
Poets' Basement
Guthrie, LaMorticella and Engel
Website of
the Weekend
Killer
Tells All!
February 3,
2006
Toufic Haddad
A
Parliament of Prisoners
Heather Gray
Working with Coretta Scott King
Tim Wise
Racism,
Neo----Confederacy and the Raising of Historical Illiterates
Conn Hallinan
Nuclear Proliferation: the Gathering Storm
Eva Golinger
Rumsfeld and Negroponte Amp Up Hositility Toward Venezuela
Daniel Ellsberg
The World Can't Wait: Invitation to a Demonstration
Dave Zirin
Detroit: Super Bowl City on the Brink
Robert Bryce
The
Problem with Cutting US Oil Imports from the Middle East
Website of
the Day
The Chavez Code
February 2,
2006
Winslow T.
Wheeler
Pentagon
Pork: How to Eliminate It
Stan Cox
Outsourcing
the Golden Years
Rachard Itani
Danes
(Finally) Apologize to Muslims (For the Wrong Reasons)
Mike Whitney
Afghanistan Five Years Later: Buildings Down, Heroin Up
Amira Hass
In
the Footsteps of Arafat: an Interview with Hamas' Ismail Haniya
Norman Solomon
When Praise is Desecration: Smothering King's Legacy with Kind
Words
Michael Simmons
Stew Lives!
Christopher
Reed
Japan's
Dirty Secret: One Million Korean Slaves
Website of the Day
State of Nature
February 1,
2006
Sharon Smith
The
Bluff and Bluster Dems: Alito and the Faux Filibuster
Jason Leopold
Enron and the Bush Administration
Cindy Sheehan
Getting
Busted at the State of the Union: What Really Happened
Joseph Grosso
Oprah
and Elie Wiesel: a Match Made in "Neutrality"
Earl Ofari Hutchinson
Coretta Scott King was More Than Just Dr. King's Wife
Steven Higgs
Life After Roe. v. Wade
Robert Robideau
"God Given Rights": Palestine and Native America
R. Siddharth
Tales of Power: When Gandhi Rejected a Faustian Bargain with
Henry Ford
Jim Retherford
Remembering Stew Albert: the Quiet Genius
Rep. Cynthia
McKinney
The Legacy of Coretta Scott King
Paul Craig
Roberts
The
True State of the Union
Website of
the Day
Candide's Notebooks
| February
15, 2006
Chaos, Suppression and Fraud
Counterint Some of
the Votes in Haiti
By BRIAN CONCANNON, Jr.
Haiti’s
elections on February 7 went well enough that the post-election
vote counting should have been uncontroversial. The turnout was
huge, there was almost no violence, and the people’s choice
was so clear that the second place finisher received less than 12%
of the vote. But incredibly, a week later the final results have
not been declared, and the Electoral Council is in disarray. The
voters have taken to the streets to protect their vote, and the
clear winner is alleging fraud.
The
battle lines have been drawn around the 50% of the total vote that
former President Rene Preval needs to avoid a runoff election against
his distant nearest challenger. Initial official results and unofficial
reports had Mr. Preval comfortably above that bar, but his official
numbers crept steadily downward over the last week. As of Tuesday
morning, with 90% of the votes counted, Mr. Preval was stuck at
48.7%, 22,586 votes shy of outright victory.
What’s
At Stake
In
a better world, Mr. Preval would be happy to go into a runoff with
a 48.7% share, assured that he could attract 1.3% of the voters
more easily than his opponent, Leslie Manigat, could attract 38%.
Mr. Manigat might even save his country time and money by conceding
an obviously futile contest. But this is Haiti, where electoral
support does not always translate into political power. Mr. Preval
and his supporters know that the vote only came close to 50% because
the votes of Haiti’s poor- who overwhelmingly voted for Mr.
Preval- had been systematically suppressed through a series of irregularities,
from the voter registration last summer through election day. They
draw a line from this vote suppression through questionable tabulation
practices, and see it pointing towards a second round somehow stolen
from them.
Mr.
Manigat may have Haiti’s history on his side, if not Haiti’s
voters. He knows from experience that there are many routes to Haiti’s
Presidency, not all of them requiring electoral support. He ran
in the first elections under Haiti’s current Constitution,
in November 1987, and was projected to run a distant third at best.
But the army and paramilitaries stopped the voting by firing at
voting centers, killing at least 34 people. Two months later the
army ran new elections. The candidates with democratic convictions
called a boycott of the charade, which the voters supported. But
Mr. Manigat, Hubert de Ronceray (who won less than 1% this year)
and one other candidate threw their hats in the ring, and the army
declared Manigat its President.
Last
week’s election was Haiti’s fourth Presidential election
since 1990. The previous three- 1990, 1995 and 2000- were all conducted
without serious violence. Each time, the voters delivered a landslide
to the candidate of the Lavalas political movement-no runner-up
ever topped 16% of the vote. But each time a minority in Haiti,
usually with outside support, successfully limited this mandate.
President Jean-Bertrand Aristide, the victor in the first and third
of those elections, suffered two successful coup d’etats,
and spent half of his two terms in exile. President Preval managed
to spend his whole term in office and pass power to an elected successor
(the first Haitian President to do so), but a manufactured political
crisis and perpetual squabbling about the extent of the Lavalas
landslides prevented the seating of a legislature. More important,
the crisis successfully diverted President Preval’s energies
and attention from the economic and social development policies
he was elected to implement.
Mr.
Preval did not run this year under the banner of the Fanmi Lavalas
party, but with a brand-new party, Lespwa (Hope). Fanmi Lavalas
boycotted the elections because the Interim Government of Haiti
(IGH) refused to stop its persecution of the party, which included
jailing dozens of political opponents, attacking anti-IGH protests
and mounting murderous police raids in the poor neighborhoods that
were the party’s strongholds.
But
Preval’s victory was nonetheless delivered by the Lavalas
base. Voters said as much to anyone who would listen as they waited
to vote, afterwards, and in this week’s demonstrations. More
tellingly, Preval won his landslide with almost no institutional
support or even campaigning. The Espwa party is brand new, fielding
candidates in barely half of the senatorial races. Preval received
almost no formal endorsements, and did not even speak publicly until
the last weeks of the campaign. He planned very few rallies, and
many of these were cancelled after two events were violently attacked.
But despite these handicaps, he won a landslide because the Lavalas
base voted overwhelmingly for him (candidate Marc Bazin claimed
the Lavalas mantle, but had the support of neither the party’s
top leadership nor its base, and won less than 1% of the vote).
Pre-Election
Vote Suppression
The
IGH engaged in a comprehensive program to suppress Lavalas political
activities in the ten months before the elections. Several prominent
politicians were not able to participate, as candidates or activists,
because they were kept in jail illegally, including Haiti’s
last constitutional Prime Minister, a former member of the House
of Deputies, the former Minister of the Interior, and dozens of
other local officials and grassroots activists. When Haiti’s
most prominent dissident, Rev. Gerard Jean-Juste, was diagnosed
with leukemia, it took a massive campaign, including intervention
of top U.S. Republicans, just to obtain his provisional release
for desperately needed treatment.
Making
Registration Difficult
The
voting registration process systematically discouraged poor rural
and urban voters from signing up. Where Haiti’s democratic
government provided over 10,000 voter registration centers for elections
in 2000, the IGH installed less than 500. The offices would have
been too few and far between for many voters even if they had been
evenly distributed. But placement was heavily weighted in favor
of areas likely to support the IGH and its allies. Halfway through
the registration period, for example, there were three offices in
the upscale suburb of Petionville, and the same number in the large
and largely roadless Central Plateau Department. In cities, the
poor neighborhoods were the last to get registration centers, and
Cite Soleil, the largest poor neighborhood of all, never got one.
Complaints
and protests forced the IGH to extend the registration period three
times and open additional registration facilities. Eventually over
3.5 million voters registered, about _ of the estimated eligible
voters. But we will never know how many voters could not get to
a registration center, or gave up after losing too many precious
work days in the effort. We do know that the registration difficulties
disproportionately impacted the rural and urban poor, who voted
overwhelmingly for Preval.
Making
Campaigning Difficult
Neither
Lavalas nor the Preval campaign was able to effectively engage in
pre-election campaigning. Police repeatedly fired guns at peaceful
pro-Lavalas demonstrations throughout the two years of the IGH’s
reign. In January, a pro-government gang destroyed structures erected
for a Preval campaign speech in the town of St. Marc, cancelling
the event. No arrests were made. Violence and threats of violence
forced the cancellation of subsequent events, even the campaign’s
grand finale the week before the election.
Election
Day Vote Suppression
The
IGH had limited the voting centers to 807, which would have been
inadequate even if the elections had run smoothly (Los Angeles County,
with a slightly larger population but only 37% of Haiti’s
land area and infinitely better private and public transportation
had about 4,400 polling places in November 2005). But by 1 PM on
election day, Reuters’ headline read: “Chaos, fraud
claims mar Haiti election.” Most election offices opened late
and lacked ballots or other materials; many did not become fully
functional until mid-afternoon. Voters arrived at the designated
centers to find the center had been moved at the last minute. Many
who found the center identified on their voting card waited in line
for hours only to be told they could not vote because their names
were not on the list. At some centers, tens of thousands of voters
were crammed into a single building, creating confusion, and in
one case a deadly stampede.
As
with the registration deficiencies, the poor bore the lion’s
share of the election day problems. The two voting centers for Cite
Soleil, both located well outside the neighborhood, saw the worst.
One of the two, the Carrefour Aviation site, was transferred at
the last minute to a single building where 32,000 voters had to
find the right line to wait in without posted instructions, lists
of names or an information center.
Throughout
the day, journalists and observers noted over and over that centers
in Petionville and other wealthy areas were better organized and
equipped.
As
with registration, many voters persevered despite the obstacles.
After frustrated would-be voters took to the streets in spontaneous
protests, the IGH made concessions, such as keeping the polls open
later and allowing people with voting cards whose names were not
on the local list to vote in some places. By the end of the day,
most voting centers were operating at a minimal level, and over
60% of registered voters did vote. But we will never know how many
people gave up, because they were sick or frustrated or needed to
get back to their families.
Counting
Some of the Votes
After
the problems with registration and voting, Mr. Preval’s supporters
were pleasantly surprised that the CEP gave him a large lead in
initial reports. On Thursday, the CEP announced that with 22% of
the votes counted, Preval had a commanding lead with 62% of the
vote. Mr. Manigat trailed at 11%, and Charles Henri Baker, in third
place, had 6%. Unofficial reports of the local results from international
and Haitian observers and journalists consistently had Preval far
over 50%. But by Saturday night the Preval’s official vote
had decreased to 49.61%, and by Monday it was at 48.7%.
The
IGH claims that Preval’s decrease was the result of more information
coming in and better calculations. But many questions about the
tabulation process, combined with the efforts to suppress the Lavalas
vote before and during election day, raise doubts about those claims.
On Tuesday afternoon, Mr. Preval claimed that he had proof that
he won 54% of the vote, and that the Electoral Council fraudulently
reduced his number.
Who’s
In Charge?
The
Electoral Council is supposed to be running the counting, but it
is not. Jacques Bernard was appointed “Executive Director”
of the Council- a position not previously recognized in Haitian
law- by the Prime Minister late last year. He is running the show
and has kept regular Council members out of the counting room. Councilor
Pierre Richard Duchemin charges “manipulation,” and
“an effort to stop people from asking questions.” Another
Councilor, Patrick Fequiere, claims that Mr. Bernard is working
without the Council and not telling them where his information is
coming from. The UN Peacekeeping mission was forced to remove the
doors to the tabulation center to prevent Mr. Bernard and his advisors
from acting secretly.
Uncounted
Votes
A
large number of tally sheets from polling centers are not being
counted. 254 sheets were destroyed, reportedly by gangs from political
parties opposed to Preval. 504 tally sheets reportedly lack the
codes needed to enter them officially. The missing tally sheets
probably represent about 190,000 votes- over 9% of the total votes
cast- and according to the UN, disproportionately affect poor areas
that support Preval.
Null
and Blank Votes
Electoral
officials have also discarded 147,765 votes, over 7% of the total,
as “null.” Article 185 of the Electoral Code allows
officials to nullify ballots if they “cannot recognize the
intention or political will of the elector.” The Presidential
ballots were complicated- 33 candidates, each with a photo, an emblem
and the names of the candidate and the party. Some Haitian voters,
unused to filling out forms or writing, undoubtedly made mistakes-like
marking two boxes- that made determining their choice impossible.
But 147,765 voided votes is a lot, especially when that decision
was made by local officials handpicked by an Electoral Council that
had no representation from Lavalas or Lespwa. Overly strict criterion
(such as requiring an “x” to be completely within a
candidate’s box), even if neutrally applied, would have a
disproportionate impact on Preval voters, who are more unused to
filling out forms than their better-heeled compatriots, and therefore
more likely to make mistakes.
Another
group of votes, 85,290, or 4.6%, are classified as blank ballots.
These votes are actually counted against Preval, because they are
included in the total number of valid votes that provides the baseline
for the 50% threshold. This is a potentially reasonable system,
just unreasonably applied to Haiti. It allows voters to show their
displeasure with all the candidates by voting for no one. It makes
sense in wealthy countries, but it is absurd to think that 85,000
people would leave their babies, their fields and other work and
spend hours walking or waiting in the tropical heat just to say
they did not like any of the 33 candidates. A more likely explanation
is that illiterate voters got confused by the complicated ballots
and marked nothing. Again, this problem would disproportionately
affect poor voters likely to vote for Preval. But even if it did
not- if the blank votes were allocated to candidates based on their
percentage of other votes- Preval would clear 50%.
The
blank and null ballots combined exceeded Mr. Manigat’s vote
by 17,000. The rules for blank and null votes are consistent with
previous Haitian elections, so it is hard to call the rules themselves
fraudulent. But the scale of the distortion of the vote caused by
these rules was both foreseeable and preventable. The same problem
has arisen at every election since 1990, most of which were observed
by the UN and the Organization of American States, which were active
in preparing the elections this time around. The distortion could
be sharply reduced with a simple voter education campaign: going
into poor neighborhoods, showing how to mark ballots and giving
voters an opportunity to practice on sample ballots. There was money
available for such a program- the election cost over $70 million
dollars, most of it coming from abroad, more than $30 for every
vote cast. The political parties, many of which represented a fraction
of one percent of the electorate, received generous subsidies. But
no concerted effort was made to help the much larger share of the
voters who had demonstrated difficulty with filling out the ballots.
Taking
the Streets
Haiti’s
voters may be inexperienced in filling out forms, but they have
seen enough stolen elections to qualify as world-class experts in
the field. They can trace the pattern from registration through
election day to the current calculations, and they can see their
votes discounted at every step. They know that they did enough to
win according to the rules of the game, which they believe in. But
they know that voting, in Haiti, is not enough, so they are now
out in the streets by the thousands, erecting barricades, protesting,
even occupying the pool at the luxurious Montana Hotel, where the
votes are counted and the journalists and other expatriots are lodged.
The
IGH and the US government have responded by calling on Preval to
call off the protests. He implored his supporters not to damage
people or property, but also recommended that they keep demonstrating
until the IGH stops trying to steal the election. Haiti’s
voters will undoubtedly take this recommendation. They have done
their job in marking their ballots, but know that they need to make
sure that the IGH counts them.
Brian
Concannon Jr. directs the Institute for Justice & Democracy
in Haiti, www.ijdh.org, and observed
several elections in Haiti for the Organization of American States.
He can be reached at: Brianhaiti@aol.com
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