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New Special Double Issue on the War Print Edition of CounterPunch Available Exclusively to Subscribers: The US vs. Iraq: the Thirteen Year War; The Sanctions That Killed; Bombing Iraq Every 3 Days Since the Ceasefire of 1991; What Would Gore Have Done?; The Rise of the Neocons; Israel's Proxy War Plan; Why Did It End So Quickly?; The Coming Occupation; Re-educating Iraqis, American-style; Those Reconstruction Contracts; Media Hawks; Christian Crusaders; Democratic Candidates and the War; Smart Bombs Go Haywire; Inside the Mind of Santorum; Gore Vidal on John Kerry; Thomas Pickering: the Bad Seed. Remember, the CounterPunch website is supported exclusively by subscribers to our newsletter. Our worldwide web audience is soaring, with more than 60,000 visitors a day. This is inspiring news, but the work involved also compels us to remind you more urgently than ever to subscribe and/or make a (tax deductible) donation if you can afford it. If you find our site useful please: Subscribe Now!

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Recent Stories

May 1, 2003

Jeffrey St. Clair
Santorum: That's Latin for Asshole

Iain Boal
A May Day Message to the FCC: "We Are Many; They are Few"

Diana Johnstone
About Cuba

Sam Hamod
Killings at Al Fallujah, City of Mosques

Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity
Intelligence Fiasco

Lee Sustar
Greed Air: Airline Workers Agree to Pay Cuts, While Bosses Stuff Their Pockets

Peter Linebaugh
May Day at Kut and Kenthal

Stew Albert
Straight Shooters

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Bush's War Web Log 5/01

Website of the Day
South Bay Mobilization

 

April 30, 2003

Ashley Smith
Under Uncle Sam's Thumb: a History of Washington's Occupations

Steve Perry
Bush's War Web Log 4/30

Gary Leupp
Shooting Schoolboys: Preliminary Thoughts on the Fallujah Massacre

Robert Jensen
Fighting Alienation in the USA

Wayne Madsen
The Four Horsemen of Propaganda

Ahmad Faruqui
Bush's Strategic Myopia About the Middle East

Gabriel Kolko
Iraq, the US and the End of the European Coalition

Adolfo Perez Esquivel
A Nobel Laureat's Letter to Bush: "You Talk of Freedom; You Detest Freedom"

 

 

April 29, 2003

Gary Leupp
Disorder and Opportunity: the Results of the Iraq War

Uri Avnery
Don't Envy Abu-Mazen

Anthony Gancarski
Brush with the Law

Mickey Z.
POWs: Then and Now

CounterPunch Wire
How to Spin Israel on the Hill: Internal Lobbying Documents

Robert Fisk
Did the US Murder Journalists?

Chris Floyd
Bush Telegraphs His Punches on Syria

Wayne Madsen
About Those Iraqi Intelligence Documents

Wallace Gagne
Pilgrimage or Demolition Derby?

Eliot Katz
Playing Catch with Cracked Globes

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Bush's War Web Log 4/29

 

April 28, 2003

Ann Harrison
Fighting Back: Medical Marijuana Patients Sue Ashcroft

Robert Jensen
Lack of WMD Kills the Case for War

Peter Phillips
Total Information Control

Ron Jacobs
Get the US Out of Iraq and Its Military Out of Our Minds

Mark Hand
Peace Park: The Pentagon Solution to a Baseball Stadium Dilemma

Linda S. Heard
Repeat After Me: Iraq is Weapons Free

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US Military Bases: the Spoils and Deceptions of War

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Bush's War Web Log 4/28

 

April 26 / 27, 2003

Elaine Cassel
The Other War: Bush, Ashcroft and the End of Civil Liberties

Saul Landau
Iraq War: a Policy of Christian and Jewish Fundamentalism

William A. Cook
Sharon Recruits US as Mercenaries Against Syria

William S. Lind
Now the Real War Starts

John Chuckman
In Jesus's Name:
Franklin Graham's Christian Empire

David MacMichael and Ray McGovern
Ex-CIA Analysts on WMD: Where? Find? Plant?

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Why the War on Iraq was (and Remains) Wrong

Robert Sandels
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CounterPunch Wire
An Open Letter to Jerry Brown on Oakland Police Violence Against Peace Activists and Dock Workers

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Our Ba'athists

Anthony Gancarski
Nader Plays Pullman

Scott Handleman
The Mumia Abu-Jamal Case in Its True Colors

Claud Cockburn
Evelyn Waugh's Ear Trumpet

Poets' Basement
Matt Simon, Sam Hamod, Hammond Guthrie and Stew Albert

Steve Perry
Bush's War Web Log 4/26

 

April 25, 2003

David Vest
It's Not the Oil; It's the Art!

Steven Higgs
All About Tucker Carlson

Walt Brasch
The Shock and Awe of American Ignorance

Alexander Cockburn
The Decline of American Journalism: the Case of Judy Miller

Zeynep Toufe
A Letter to the People of Iraq from an Anti-War Activist

CounterPunch Wire
Season of the Witch: Jeane Kirkpatrick Unbound

Hammond Guthrie
Springtime in Iraq

Steve Perry
Bush's War Web Log 4/25

Website of the Day
Having a Great Time, Wish You Were Here: Postcards from a War

 

April 24, 2003

Lois Whitman
An Open Letter to Rumsfeld on the Child Detainees at Guantanamo

Uri Avnery
Abu vs. Abu: It's Not About Egos

David Lindorff
Day Care in the Name of National Security? About Those Kids in Camp X-Ray

John Grebe
Rev. Pat Robertson's Message in the Temple

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Israeli Army Chief Threatens Peace Activists

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Our Man in Baghdad

Annie C. Higgins
Do You Regret Being an American?

Harold A. Gould
Will They Hate Us Forever?

Stew Albert
Big Brother in Bed

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Bush's War Web Log 4/24

Website of the Day
Muscles Abroad

 

April 23, 2003

Anthony Gancarski
When Young Mothers Die in Combat

Chris Floyd
Desolation Row: Bush's Barbarians Teach by Example

Marjorie Cohn
Tax the War Profiteers

William Lind
The Fourth Generation of Modern War

Dave Marsh
Nina Simone: Freedom Singer

Binoy Kampmark
Malayasia's America: the War on Iraq

David Vest
Who's Looting Whom?

Standard Shaefer
Super Imperialism: an Interview with Michael Hudson

Andrew Rodman
Lawn Poem

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Bush's War Web Log 4/23

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Weapons of Mass Destruction in the Middle East

 

April 22, 2003

Edward Said
The Appalling Consequences of the Iraq War are Now Clear

Sam Hamod
What's the Deal with This War?

Kurt Nimmo
Shi'a Will to Power

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At last! The Necessary Evidence

Carl Estabrook
Oblivious Americans: They Distort, We Subside

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Iran's Reza Pahlavi: a Puppet of the US and Israel?

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April 21, 2003

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Early Lessons from Iraq

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April 19, 2003

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The Rape of History

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April 18, 2003

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April 17, 2003

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May 3, 2003

The New Nuclear Threat

Hair-Trigger Missiles Risk Catastrophic Terrorism

By Dr. BRUCE G. BLAIR
Center for Defense Information

While the efforts of the U.S. government to assist Russia in preventing the theft of nuclear materials from storage sites and research institutes have been inadequate, the opportunities for nuclear terrorism presented by U.S. and Russian nuclear weapons on hair-trigger alert represent an even greater peril that receives even less attention and effort. In an era of potential nuclear terrorism, the theft of a nuclear weapon from a storage site could spell an eventual disaster for an American city, but the seizure of a strategic missile or group of missiles ready for immediate firing could be apocalyptic for entire nations.

Our two governments have not yet overcome the mutual suspicion that is severely impeding their cooperation in preventing nuclear materials theft. They had better leap this hurdle soon, because even greater cooperation is necessary to protect their populations against the multitude of potential terrorist threats to launch-ready nuclear forces.

The distrust stems partially from disputes such as the Iraq war, but it persists in large part because the United States and Russia remain in each other's nuclear cross-hairs. War planners in both countries remain, believe it or not, preoccupied with preparing to fight a large-scale nuclear war with each other on short notice. Both sides keep thousands of weapons aimed at each other and poised for immediate launch. U.S. spy planes still routinely lurk off the Russian border looking for holes in the air defense network through which U.S. heavy bombers and cruise missiles could fly to drop nuclear bombs on Russia in wartime. Russian missile submarines still find themselves trailed by U.S. submarines as soon as they leave port on patrol. Two massive leadership posts inside mountains in the Urals built to withstand a U.S. nuclear strike are just coming online. Russia is equipping the one at Kozvinsky Mountain with an underground antenna for radioing a launch order to a "dead hand" communications rocket designed to ensure quasi-automatic Russian missile retaliation in the event of a U.S. strike that decapitates the nuclear chain of command.

It behooves the former enemies to kick these old habits and stand down their obsolete confrontation. Nuclear terrorism is the real enemy, and fostering cooperation in tackling it requires that both countries move away from their nuclear confrontation. Taking U.S. and Russian missiles off of hair-trigger alert, moreover, would itself automatically reduce if not remove many of the biggest terrorist threats--which stem largely stem from the extremely high launch-readiness of strategic missiles. Both U.S. and Russian intercontinental ballistic missiles remain fueled, targeted, and waiting for a couple of computer signals to fire. They fly the instant they receive these signals, which can be sent with a few keystrokes on a launch console.

What kind of terrorist threats? The most obvious is the loss of physical control over such missiles. If scores of armed Chechen rebels could slip into the heart of Moscow and hold a packed theater hostage for days, could terrorists infiltrate missile fields in rural Russia, seize control over a nuclear-armed mobile rocket roaming the countryside, and launch it at Europe or America? It's an open question that warrants candid bilateral discussion of the prospects of terrorists capturing rockets and circumventing the safeguards designed to foil their illicit firing.

Another specter concerns terrorists spoofing radar or satellite sensors, or cyber-terrorists hacking into early warning networks. Could sophisticated terrorists generate false indications of an enemy attack that results in a mistaken launch of nuclear rockets in 'retaliation?' False alarms have been frequent enough on both sides under the best of conditions. False warning poses an acute danger as long as Russian and U.S. nuclear commanders are allowed, as they still are today, only several pressure-packed minutes to determine whether an enemy attack is underway and decide whether to retaliate. Russia's deteriorating early warning network coupled to terrorist plotting against it only heightens the risks.

Russia is not the only crucible of risk. The early warning and control problems plaguing Pakistan, India, and other nuclear proliferators are even more acute. As these nations move toward hair-trigger stances for their nuclear missiles, the terrorist threat to them will grow in parallel.

In addition, U.S. nuclear control is also far from fool-proof. For example, a Pentagon investigation of nuclear safeguards conducted several years ago made a startling discovery--terrorist hackers might be able to gain back-door electronic access to the U.S. naval communications network, seize control electronically over radio towers such as the one in Cutler, Maine, and illicitly transmit a launch order to U.S. Trident ballistic missile submarines armed with 200 nuclear warheads apiece. This exposure was deemed so serious that Trident launch crews had to be given elaborate new instructions for confirming the validity of any launch order they receive. They would now reject a firing order that previously would have been immediately carried out.

If Russian and U.S. experts could instill trust in each other, then they could identify the real deficiencies in the system of early warning and control over nuclear forces on high combat alert. They could also allay unwarranted fears. The value of trust was illustrated two years ago when Russian scientists at the renowned Kurchatov Institute alerted their American counterparts in the Department of Energy to software flaws they feared had compromised the U.S. computer system used to keep track of the U.S. inventory of nuclear materials.

The stakes today are too high to let old habits of mind and obsolete practices of nuclear confrontation stand in the way of protecting ourselves against the biggest threat faced by both the United States and Russia. Washington and Moscow need to stop playing Cold War-like games and confront nuclear terrorism instead. Both need ironclad safeguards against the terrorist exploitation of their hair-trigger arsenals. They should each stand down, and work together not only to protect their own arsenals but also to keep other nations off of high alert, before it's too late.

Dr. Bruce Blair is president of the Center for Defense Information, where this article originally appeared.

Yesterday's Features

Jeffrey St. Clair
Santorum: That's Latin for Asshole

Iain Boal
A May Day Message to the FCC: "We Are Many; They are Few"

Diana Johnstone
About Cuba

Sam Hamod
Killings at Al Fallujah, City of Mosques

Veteran Intelligence Professionals for Sanity
Intelligence Fiasco

Lee Sustar
Greed Air: Airline Workers Agree to Pay Cuts, While Bosses Stuff Their Pockets

Peter Linebaugh
May Day at Kut and Kenthal

Stew Albert
Straight Shooters

Steve Perry
Bush's War Web Log 5/01

Website of the Day
South Bay Mobilization

 

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